Does a high acute:chronic workload ratio predict injury?

It predicts risk, not injury. A ratio above 1.5 suggests acute loading may exceed what an athlete's chronic fitness state can handle, but it does not guarantee an injury will occur. Be honest about what the numbers truly offer.

What is EWMA, and why use it instead?

An exponentially weighted moving average gives recent sessions more weight than older ones when calculating the chronic load. It fits how fitness actually works: a session from four weeks ago contributes less to today's fitness than a session from yesterday.

Adam Ringler

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What is the acute:chronic workload ratio?

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